Three Scenarios, if Obama Wins

I will admit it. I have some serious thoughts of dread, in the event Senator Barack Obama becomes President of the United States. We simply do not know much about this guy. He is a great orator. He is youthful. He is attractive. And since JFK, our country cannot get enough of people like that. It's as though youth and charisma will always trump factors like experience and maturity. Presidents like Bill Clinton, and candidates like Barack Obama, let us scratch our Camelot itch. "Oh Johnny, we hardly knew ye!" Our great national tragedy is never far from our hearts. Let us elect another like him!

The problem is, Barack Obama is no John F. Kennedy. JFK had been tested, on PT 109. He had served both in the US House, and had been re-elected to the Senate. And get this, he was a conservative Democrat, the champion of tax cuts and a strong defense. He was a valiant and effective Cold Warrior.

Barack - we hardly know ye!

Barack Obama has never really earned much money, on his own. He lived in a house in Chicago, that he could not afford. He traveled the world for several years, using funds he did not have. He had wealthy sponsors along the way, from dubious backgrounds. He built coalitions of shadowy characters. He developed a political base in the most corrupt of political cultures: the Chicago democratic machine.

He has not put forward any ideas of his own. He rarely takes a stand in legislative battles. He has no record to examine. He stands on the shoulders of others that came before him. The few votes he has ever cast, as a legislator, show him to be the most extreme candidate, ever making it this close to the White House.

He has many friends and wealthy backers, with a loathing for many of our most cherished institutions, and he owes them much.

So I offer three scenarios that could happen under a President Obama. I am not saying they will happen; just that they are more likely to happen under President Obama, than under President McCain. But they are likely enough, that one should think seriously before pulling the lever for Obama-Biden:

1) Bush-Cheney, and others in their administration, tried for war crimes. This is not as crazy as it sounds. The congressional democrats hate, even loathe, George W. Bush. They do not share his passion to fight terrorism by creating free democracies in the Middle East and throughout the world. And they are still reeling from the Clinton impeachment. You might even see the terrible spectable of a former US President handed over to the World Court.

Now, I do not believe Barack Obama plans to do this. But I think his backers would love to see it, and I am not confident that he can stand up to them.

2) The fall of Lebanon. Lebanon, a beautiful Middle Eastern country which is nearly 50% Christian, would become a sitting duck during an Obama Presidency. Syria would have nothing to fear, and would certainly contemplate the re-deployment of its military to finally crush this critical buffer between Israel and its neighbors to the north. I do not believe President Obama would do anything to stop it. Hezbollah could cleanse Lebanon of its moderate Muslim and Christian elements, another domino would fall, and Israel would be completely surrounded and isolated, with not even the U.S. to count on.

And of course, Israel will not stand by while all this is going on . . .

3) Hoover's mistake, repeated. The Great Depression was lengthened through the tax-and-spend policies of Hoover-Roosevelt. Both presidents had a hand in making the Depression worse. High taxes, which took more money out of the pockets of Americans, combined with federal deficit spending, created a federal bureacracy doing an inefficient job of running the national economy. Of course, FDR knew how to smile, and sounded good on the radio. Senator Obama is, at least, good at smiling and talking. But we also know, with great certainty, that he will raise taxes as high as he can, and nationalize as much private industry, as he can get away with. And Pelosi-Reid will let him get away with plenty.

How I would love to address a historic wrong, by elevating a woman or minority to the Presidency.

But not this man; not Barack Obama. The risks of civil unrest in the US (through anti-Bush purges), cataclysmic war in the Middle East (while President Obama talks), and the advent of a 21st Century Great Depression (a repeat of failed Hoover-Roosevelt policies), even more severe than our parents' and grandparents' Depression; are too great.

I reiterate, that Senator Obama is a good man. Any that aspires to the Presidency, is to be respected and highly regarded. But I do not like his friends and advisors. I don't like the source of his wealth. And I do not think he is up to the challenges of our generation. We need more than platitudes.